作者:Paul Dibb
DOI:10.1111/1468-2346.00221
日期:2001.10
Indonesia has played a vital role in the security of South-East Asia for more than 30 years, both through its prominent position in ASEAN and the ARF and through the stability and longevity of the Suharto regime. The central theme of this article emphasizes that peace and stability in Indonesia are the key to peace and stability in the South-East Asian region. However, instability within ASEAN countries themselves and the risk of serious upheaval in Indonesia have the potential to infect other parts of South-East Asia. The author assesses Indonesia's role in shaping regional security and the country's prospects for a successful democratic future in which the West has a strong interest in encouraging the more moderate Indonesian Islamic elements to build enduring and democratic political institutions.
印度尼西亚在东南亚的安全事务中发挥了超过30年的重要作用,既通过其在东盟和亚太区域论坛的突出地位,也通过苏哈托政权的稳定性与持久性。本文的核心主题强调,印度尼西亚的和平与稳定是东南亚地区和平与稳定的关键。然而,东盟国家内部的不稳定以及印度尼西亚发生严重动荡的风险有可能波及东南亚其他地区。作者评估了印度尼西亚在塑造区域安全中的作用,以及该国在成功民主未来的前景,同时西方对鼓励更加温和的印度尼西亚Islamic元素建立持久和民主政治机构具有强烈的兴趣。